Post-Brexit Guide: What's been the impact and how did it happen? Its June. Melonis main challenger is former Prime Minister Enrico Lettas Democratic Party (PD), which is currently polling at around 22 percent. The leaders of Italy or the leaders of the country that has several bases and thousands of troops in Italy or the leaders of the EU in Brussels? There seems to be little concern about whether Italy will remain a solid transatlantic partner, but the big question mark looms over relations with Europe. See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. Draghi, who had successfully shepherded the eurozone through the turbulent euro crisis, was well-respected both at home and also across EU capitals. Support for leave in the surveys most recent round was highest in the Czech Republic (29.2%), Italy (20.1%) and Sweden (19.3%), but even in those countries it had declined by 4.5 percentage points, 9.1 points and 4.6 points respectively since 2016-2017, the survey showed. But political parties in the country have become more Eurosceptical in recent years, with three of the dominant movements within Italy's House of Deputies being overtly so. Younger Italians tend to believe that the current issues can be overcome with cooperation between the nations of the EU instead of further division. The long answer is: it would take years of haggling and then most probably fail. If the polls prove right, Meloni would become Italys first female prime minister and the first far-right Italian premier since World War II. read more. One of the key reasons they did this was because the younger Italians moved out of these towns for better opportunities. Even so, this issue causes concerns among some Italians. But the country is not wholly Eurosceptic, as officials have advocated for closer ties in some sectors, namely health. For example, former Eastern Bloc countries effectively had no functioning legal system and corruption was rife throughout the entire continent. When major global news breaks, the Atlantic Councils experts have you covereddelivering their sharpest rapid insight and forward-looking analysis direct to your inbox. Here's what a Meloni government in Italy could mean for the EU. Macron is expected to hold talks with Scholz on how to deal with Italy in the coming days, a French government source said. The current government will also leave a lot on the agenda. The EU, despite setting up a whole new raft of regulations, has done a great deal to improve the economic growth of the European continent by streamlining cross-border trade. There are some crumbs of good news for the EU in the Euronews poll data. The next government will have its docket full with issues like tax reform, competition regulation, judicial reform, and even enacting a minimum wageItaly is one of six EU countries without a federally regulated minimum wage, and will have to introduce one to comply with new EU law. So it is more likely that she will use the leverage of her recent success in the elections to seek extra benefits from the EU, such as lower taxes or higher rates of investment. In Warsaw, where the ultra-conservative government often sides with Orban, officials are also sanguine. See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. Thu 12 Jan 2023 06.35 EST First published on Thu 12 Jan 2023 04.22 EST Support for leaving the EU has dropped significantly, and sometimes dramatically, in member states across the bloc in the. President Marine Le Pen has been president of France for less than a month. Italy Leaving the Euro After Draghi Is a Non-Existent Risk - Bloomberg Prime Minister Mario Draghiwho is credited with leading Italy out of the COVID-19 economic downturnhas largely been viewed as a figure of economic stability in Europe, thanks to his tenure as former president of the European Central Bank and his role as a vocal advocate of EU responses to the economic and energy crises stemming from Russias war in Ukraine. As the Italians say, non si sano one knows. Melonis premiership could also see Italy tilt toward protectionism. Pablo Simn, professor of political science at Carlos III University in Madrid, said a Meloni win might energise far-right parties elsewhere as spiralling consumer prices hurt households. The EU Commission okays unconditionally the creation of a joint venture More info. Concerns in the West about the Brothers of Italys roots as a neofascist party have been met with claims that fascism has been handed over to history. EU countries: The five countries that could leave the bloc next For example, her party wants the state to purchase a controlling share in Telecom Italia, which Meloni says would result in a state owned, non-vertically integrated network and private operators operating under free competition, effectively cutting out other European investors. Living standards, economic opportunities and prosperity all rose dramatically in the post-war period, largely due to the European Union. Ilva Tare and Akshat Dhankher. Giorgia Meloni: Italy's far-right wins election and vows to - BBC It is in the best interest of every nation to follow an independent foreign policy, a policy that reflects what is in the nations best interests. Once the funds dry up, these towns are back to square one. Italians have helped support the union since, and talks of "Italexit" have received little serious consideration. The concept is a familiar one for investors: At a moment of political stress, Italy could crash out of the euro and return to the old lira as a result of bad government decisions, be it by design or accident. There will be probably a realignment of Italy along with the government of Poland especially," he added. It left the EU by accident. MENASource offers the latest news from across the Middle East, combined with commentary by contributors, interviews with emerging players, multi-media content, and independent analysis from fellows and staff. Several member states have scuppered the bloc's attempts to hold Russia accountable and could end up leaving or being pushed out. In fact, a never-ending cycle of violence plagued Europe right up to the end of World War 2. Leaving the euro isnt one of them. "I believe the rising anti-EU sentiment is based on an economic stagnation which began in the early 1990s and has been made worse by the Great Recession starting in 2008 and now the Coronavirus epidemic," he added. New Atlanticist is where top experts and policymakers at the Atlantic Council and beyond offer exclusive insight on the most pressing global challengesand the United States role in addressing them alongside its allies and partners. Access unmatched financial data, news and content in a highly-customised workflow experience on desktop, web and mobile. Letta, who some see as a continuation of Italys old politics, has stated that this election will decide whether Italy will stick with the likes of France, Germany, Spain, and the European Union (EU) in general, or side with right-leaning European partners like Poland and Hungary as primary partners. Even so, many Italians feel that the cost of housing and supporting the newly arrived migrants is not fairly borne by other countries in Europe. See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. Exclusive news, data and analytics for financial market professionals, Reporting by Rodolfo Fabbri, Crispian Balmer and Angelo Amante in Rome and Emilio Parodi in Milan; Editing by Mark Potter, Prigozhin says Kremlin factions are destroying the Russian state, Twenty injured, others trapped in blast near Ukrainian city of Dnipro, Kremlin bans Western journalists from Russia's 'Davos', Tens of thousands gather in Serbia's anti-government protest, Turkey's Erdogan appoints Mehmet Simsek as finance minister, India train crash survivor recounts: 'We thought we were dead', Tunisian president suggests taxing rich as solution to fiscal problem, Three Europeans return home after release by Iran in prisoner swap, China's Tiananmen Square demonstrations and crackdown. Will Meloni tone down her calls for Italys sovereignty once she enters Palazzo Chigi? Mathieu Gallard, research director of the leading French polling firm Ipsos, which regularly conducts surveys of European opinion, said the ESS numbers reflected a veritable collapse in support for leaving the EU in several countries. Meloni sees Italian individualism as the solution to becoming a more influential European actor. Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. Just 33 percent of Czechs said they viewed the EU positively, while fewer than half - 47 percent - would vote to remain in the bloc. All rights reserved. Italy's far-right leads polls, causes EU headaches (Episode 1) ASEAN's tech elite from Cisco and Infineon plot the region's economic future in this new series with Haslinda Amin. By Mark Whitehouse. Following a similar trend, the participants polled in each country were asked in a separate question whether they thought the UK would benefit from leaving the EU in the long-term, even if there were short-term economic problems. "There will be definitely a shift in the positioning of the Italian government compared to the past two Mario Draghi governments," Luca Tomini, a political scientist from Free Brussels University, told Euronews. Open Privacy Options The most comprehensive solution to manage all your complex and ever-expanding tax and compliance needs. They also coincide with the Covid pandemic and Russias invasion of Ukraine, which experts suggest have prompted many EU citizens to view membership more favourably, and decisions by many anti-EU parties, including in France and Italy, to abandon Frexit or Italexit policies in favour of reforming the EU from within. Foodance Festival NYC on Instagram: "Foodance Festival NYC New York Either way, much is at stake for Italy, which faces a snap election at a time when the country is reeling from converging crises of inflation, surging cost of living, uncertain energy security, and the ongoing war in Ukraine. Italy drops last COVID entry rules, ditches testing and - Euronews What happens if Italy leaves the EU? - MSCI Italy is favourite to be next country to leave EU ahead of Sunday's election Have you asked whether Italy will leave the EU? Is Italy the latest country to be put on EU suicide watch? Latest Football News and Gossip updates - Sky Sports "Meloni has also changed her political line in recent months, for example, with regard to policy toward Russia. Any decision should not be taken lighly. Barely 2 kilometres (1.2 miles) away, Italy's main centre-left group, the Democratic Party (PD), wrapped up what critics say has been an underwhelming campaign, accusing the right of looking to isolate the country in Europe. With unemployment levels hovering around the 9% mark, many Italians feel that high levels of immigration are putting unnecessary pressure on the local job market. "We can expect more veto points and veto powers or expression of vetoes by this government," she added. articles a month for anyone to read, even non-subscribers! At. Underscoring challenges ahead for Meloni and Europe, former Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, whose Forza Italia party belongs to Meloni's coalition, said Russia had been "pushed" into the war on Ukraine. The Local Italy - [email protected] 18 Sep, 2022 Updated Sun 18 Sep 2022 06:46 CEST. Express. President Sergio Mattarella had turned to Draghi early in 2021 as a steady hand outside of party politics who could lead the country out of the darker days of the COVID-19 pandemic, despite opposition from M5S, which preferred a political government. Leave was least popular in Spain (4.7%). 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"There could be changes in their approach to the reforms that were required by Europe to be able to get the money," Talani flagged. She has also sought to reassure would-be EU partners about her intentions in a video in French, English and Spanish. As a tribute to the success of the European project of unification, the last 50 years of European history has been a period of unparalleled peace and cooperation on the continent. (modern), Helsinki, in Finland, where the proportion of people who said they would vote leave has fallen by 13.2 percentage points since 2016-17.e, Croatia takes final steps into EU with open border and euro switch, Greek MEP Eva Kaili to stay in custody after corruption charges, says court, Apolice stakeout, piles of cash, and a promise of reform: the week that shook Brussels, Germanys Scholz backs more Balkan states joining EU, Latvian PM calls on EU to end all tourist visas for Russians, EUcalls on Liz Truss to abide by Brexit deal, EUvotes to force all phones to use same charger by 2024, Introduction of 7 visa-waiver forms for travellers to EU delayed. The European Union, partly as a result of its sheer size, is not always very transparent in the way that the bureaucratic decisions are made at the highest levels. Strong emotional attachment to Europe in Finland rose to 58.7% from 46% over the period, while in Hungary engaged in an increasingly bitter rule-of-law dispute with Brussels it increased from 60% to 70.3%. Support for leaving the EU has dropped significantly, and sometimes dramatically, in member states across the bloc in the wake of the UKs Brexit referendum, according to data from a major pan-European survey. Marine Le Pen and the end of the EU as we know it - POLITICO Sovereignty is the ability of the state to govern itself. The reason is quite simple: The EU simply never planned for that possibility. Heres a look at the main contenders and what they promise: The conditions for this election show that Italy cannot continue to be governed by technocrats. 34 per cent thought being a member of the EU had a somewhat or very negative impact, the highest percentage among participants in the four countries polled. Five key takeaways as Italy makes historic lurch to the far-right, Giorgia Meloni: The far-right party leader set to be Italy's first female prime minister, French PM says human rights and abortion access are European values after Italian election. Former TV journalist Gianluigi Paragone launched his "Italexit" party on July 23, just two days after Italy secured a considerable tranche of the EU's 750 billion recovery fund to help steady its pandemic-hit economy. Data from the Redfield and Wilton Strategies survey found that nearly half of Italians would be likely to support their country leaving the EU if the UK and its economy are regarded to be in good health in five years. It requires Italy to proceed with reforms of its administration and justice system in order to access 200 billion in EU funding. These towns are totally dependent on government funding to support the refugees. A Pew Research Center survey of 10 EU member states conducted in spring last year also found large majorities in nearly every country surveyed held a broadly favourable opinion of the bloc, with a median of 72% viewing it in a favourable light compared with 26% who had a broadly unfavourable opinion. France. These benefits also apply to students who want to study in another member state. Coronavirus: Euro area economy shrinks by 12.1% biggest drop on record, Brexit talks: Barnier slams UK stance, says Britain 'not seeking clean break from EU at all', Viral TikTok video causes Italy to reckon with racism - once again, Anonymous births and safe heaven baby boxes: Italy's new controversy. Long live Europe," PD leader Enrico Letta told cheering supporters. Screen for heightened risk individual and entities globally to help uncover hidden risks in business relationships and human networks. It simply means explaining that the defense of the national interest is important to us as it is for the French and for the Germans.. Photo by Alberto Lo Bianco/Sipa USA/REUTERS. Why leave the EU, when you can shape it instead? Brothers of Italy traces its roots back to a post fascist movement created at the end of World War Two, and although Meloni has sought to project a moderate image, both she and Salvini have been fiercely critical of the european union, accusing Brussels of interfering too much in national politics. Energy shortages, rising unemployment, war on the EUs Eastern borders and a lack of strong leadership from the continents political elite, have all contributed to a growing sense among many voters that leaving the EU is the best policy for Italy to pursue. The country's recovery and resilience plan which Draghi negotiated with Brussels could also become a new battleground. ORDER REPRINT . The ESS survey is normally conducted through face-to-face interviews, but due to the Covid-19 pandemic, respondents in six countries including Austria, Germany, Poland, Sweden and Spain were asked to complete questionnaires themselves in 2020-2022. The UK was never well-installed in Brussels. May 23, 2022 [EPA-EFE/RICCARDO ANTIMIANI] EURACTIV is part of the Trust Project >>> Languages: Franais | Deutsch | Polski Right-wing party Fratelli d'Italia (Brothers of Italy) is now leading. Updated July 06, 2022 1:21 PM . Whats next for European energy security? Far-right favourite to be Italy's next PM softens on EU as election Countries like India have stayed away from signing free trade agreements with nations in the EU precisely because of these reasons. Event guide: Istanbul | UEFA Champions League 2022/23 The poll findings come just weeks after the founding of a new anti-EU party in Italy. This is not in Germanys best national interest. In the event, France and Spain both showed moderate support for changing its relationship with the bloc, while Germany was the member state least likely of the four major players to consider leaving the Union. Italy on brink of EU split as far-right could win in Brexit-like vote 7 Top Fashion Trends 2022 & Shoe Trends: What To Keep, What to Leave FRANCE and Italy could be the next countries to follow in the steps of the UK and leave the European Union, the leader of the Frexit movement forecast. This intergenerational difference is not unique to Italy; in fact, its reflected very consistently across the entire continent. If Meloni wins, Sunday's election will hand Italy its most right-wing government since World War Two. If Italexit were tomanifest or even approach reality it would trigger an unprecedented crisis for both the single currency and the Italian economy. Meloni's intentions are less clear. April 21, 2022 4:03 am CET. "To sum up, Italy will no longer be a force for good within the EU but a free-riding member state taking - as opposed to giving - as much as it can, and ceasing to contribute to major decision-making. Italy's travel rules have changed for visitors from around the world. In Brussels, officials are unsure how Meloni will handle Italy's part of the European recovery plan, which is meant to unlock 192 billion euros in return for domestic reforms. For instance, in 2016 over 180,000 refugees arrived in Italy having made the risky sea crossing although by 2021, the levels had fallen to around 60,000 new arrivals by sea. Sun 18 Sep 2022 10.13 EDT Last modified on Tue 20 Sep 2022 09.10 EDT. This contributes to the unpredictability of the pro-European line of the future Italian government,"Arturo Varvelli, the head of the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR)'s Rome office, said in a note. The crowd was considerably smaller than the one that turned out on Wednesday in the same space for the sole get-together of Meloni, Salvini and Berlusconi, who have tried to downplay their own policy divisions. Individual freedom, private enterprise, educational freedom, the centrality of the family and its role in society, border protection from unchecked immigration, and the defense of Italian national identity are among the issues she campaigns on the most. "The Italian party system is already overcrowded by the presence of various parties being critical of the EU, in various forms and degrees: Salvinis League, Melonis Brothers of Italy and the Five Star Movement. The overall effect was to depress the remain vote in the self-complete countries rather than to increase the leave vote, Hanson said. BBC News, Rome Far-right leader Giorgia Meloni has claimed victory in Italy's election, and is on course to become the country's first female prime minister. The country was neck and neck with Austria on Professor Gastinger's scale in 2021, and it has appeared to tiptoe closer to leaving the bloc since 2021. In Italy, we could see equities drop 50%, whereas Italian sovereign bond yields could rise as much as 480 basis points (bps). Could Italy leave the EU following the election of their new right-wing prime minister, Giorgia Meloni? Voters in Italy, . "I'm a bit worried, especially for the competition reform.". Will Italy leave the EU? | Rock Hill Herald Browse an unrivalled portfolio of real-time and historical market data and insights from worldwide sources and experts. The average unemployment rate for young people aged between 15 and 29 in Cyprus in 2022 was 14.1 per cent (-0.1 per cent compared with 2021), while standing at 11.3 per cent at the EU level (-1.7 . Will Italy leave the EU? "Such parties have considerable electoral support, and the electoral prospects of the new Italexit party will pretty much depend on its capacity to steal voters from these parties.". All quotes delayed a minimum of 15 minutes. Remoaners 'wrong again' as UK pulling in record-numbers of students, EU leaders agree on watered down Russian oil ban after weeks of disput, EU countries: The five countries that could leave next, Orban slams 'irresponsible' EU over oil sanctions on Russia, EU countries: Viktor Orban recently won a reelection bid in Hungary, EU countries: Some Italian parties have become explicitly Eurosceptic, Plot to undermine Brexit! Britons rage at Rejoiner alliance, Ukrainian MP takes dig at EU after Nigel Farage prompt, 'Apologise to British!' At play is the balance of power inside the EU as it contends with the fallout from Russia's war on Europe's eastern flank and the continent's worst energy and cost-of-living crises in decades. Europe home alone: Gaming out the future of transatlantic relations. For example, between 2012 and 2016 the GDP of Germany rose by 19%, the GDP of the Netherlands rose by 14% and the GDP of Portugal rose by 10%. The number of Italians who would vote to stay in the EU for the time being was a significant 43 per cent, compared to 31 per cent who would vote to leave. Italy will abolish all entry rules for international travellers from June 1. Ms Meloni is widely expected to form. 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